Skip to main content
Topic: AFL Rd 13 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Essendon (Read 10341 times) previous topic - next topic
0 Members and 9 Guests are viewing this topic.

Re: AFL Rd 13 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Essendon

Reply #135
I only point out its a frustration.  Does he break down more or less than the others?  How does he stack up next to his peers?   Who can we logically compare him to?

Its like Jack Martin.  His ability, and capability was fine, but at some point reliability becomes the issue.  Both Gov and Williams suffer from lack of reliability.

Agree, the question is, how long can we carry it? How long did we carry Martin, Cunningham and Marchbank for SFA output? Its not about their ability, its about durability and we have been poor at managing it.
2021-Pi$$ or get off the pot
2022- Real Deal or more of the same? 0.6%
2023- "Raise the Standard" - M. Voss Another year wasted Bar Set
2024-Back to the drawing boardNo excuses, its time
2025-Carlton can win the 2025 AFL Premiership

Re: AFL Rd 13 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Essendon

Reply #136
I only point out its a frustration.  Does he break down more or less than the others?  How does he stack up next to his peers?   Who can we logically compare him to?

Its like Jack Martin.  His ability, and capability was fine, but at some point reliability becomes the issue.  Both Gov and Williams suffer from lack of reliability.

There will always be some player that breaks down more than an other, its statistically certain.
On the same scale, the opposite is true.
For every Jimmy Stynes, there is a Luke Livingston.

Can a club predict who does what and when. No.
Do they have some kind of idea? Potentially.

Look at Charlie, missed years of footy, then barely missed since.
Similar with Doc.

Cripps broke his leg early, has barely missed since.

There is no magical crystal ball you can look into that will guarantee you one way or another. As a club, you take a punt and back yourself in. I'm sure Zac isn't deliberately getting injured.

Re: AFL Rd 13 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Essendon

Reply #137
I only point out its a frustration.  Does he break down more or less than the others?  How does he stack up next to his peers?   Who can we logically compare him to?

Its like Jack Martin.  His ability, and capability was fine, but at some point reliability becomes the issue.  Both Gov and Williams suffer from lack of reliability.

There will always be some player that breaks down more than an other, its statistically certain.
On the same scale, the opposite is true.
For every Jimmy Stynes, there is a Luke Livingston.

Can a club predict who does what and when. No.
Do they have some kind of idea? Potentially.

Look at Charlie, missed years of footy, then barely missed since.
Similar with Doc.

Cripps broke his leg early, has barely missed since.

There is no magical crystal ball you can look into that will guarantee you one way or another. As a club, you take a punt and back yourself in. I'm sure Zac isn't deliberately getting injured.

I know.  I understand why people are frustrated about it though.  Nick Stevens was the same.  Juddy wasnt. 

You win some you lose some, but the impact of that happening is the point.  It causes angst, robs you of a solid performer who can impact games, and means they are on there to impact games less, or arent able to when you need them.

Sounds like a certain ruckman that is garnering more attention, except we have already paid the price here.

Im not even saying he should go, but when we talk list management and moving players on, these candidates sit in possibly tradeable for the right price, and more of a priority to move on ALA marchbank.
"everything you know is wrong"

Paul Hewson

Re: AFL Rd 13 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Essendon

Reply #138


There will always be some player that breaks down more than an other, its statistically certain.
On the same scale, the opposite is true.
For every Jimmy Stynes, there is a Luke Livingston.

Can a club predict who does what and when. No.
Do they have some kind of idea? Potentially.

Look at Charlie, missed years of footy, then barely missed since.
Similar with Doc.

Cripps broke his leg early, has barely missed since.

There is no magical crystal ball you can look into that will guarantee you one way or another. As a club, you take a punt and back yourself in. I'm sure Zac isn't deliberately getting injured.

I know.  I understand why people are frustrated about it though.  Nick Stevens was the same.  Juddy wasnt. 

You win some you lose some, but the impact of that happening is the point.  It causes angst, robs you of a solid performer who can impact games, and means they are on there to impact games less, or arent able to when you need them.

Sounds like a certain ruckman that is garnering more attention, except we have already paid the price here.

Im not even saying he should go, but when we talk list management and moving players on, these candidates sit in possibly tradeable for the right price, and more of a priority to move on ALA marchbank.

Nick Stevens broke his neck and still played a few games before he found out. So its not like he was soft - like people would often suggest.
Juddy started with OP and dodgy shoulders and ended up with a knee, so he was far from bullet proof either.

We cut so many 'injury prone players' last year...possibly too many because it hurt our depth.
I think we've been pretty lucky with some of the kids who have stepped up this year and done ok.
Hands up anyone who thought Matt Carroll would get a game. He's had 7 i think.
Will white? Up to game 9!
HOK, HOF, Lucas
Lord taken the next step as well.

I'm not sure what Williams is on, but its not going to be as much as people expect.
Even if it is (which it isn't) if you stack his numbers up against any other small forward on our list (and we have 27 of them) he outperforms them all in terms of output. Even using simply goals, he is 1/2 goal clear on most if not all others.

Re: AFL Rd 13 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Essendon

Reply #139
Never said soft, and dont wish to portray that.  You take the AFL field and you arent soft.  You either gut run, or crack in, but no one is soft.  Its the let down factor Im talking about.

Thats the danger of the marquee player.  They become a point of issue when you arent going well.  Hence why everyone is having heart murmurs over Charlies form this season.
"everything you know is wrong"

Paul Hewson

Re: AFL Rd 13 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Essendon

Reply #140
Never said soft, and dont wish to portray that.  You take the AFL field and you arent soft.  You either gut run, or crack in, but no one is soft.  Its the let down factor Im talking about.

Thats the danger of the marquee player.  They become a point of issue when you arent going well.  Hence why everyone is having heart murmurs over Charlies form this season.

That wasn't directed at you specifically, but majority of people were freely throwing that around in regards to Stevens back in the day.

Re: AFL Rd 13 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Essendon

Reply #141


I know.  I understand why people are frustrated about it though.  Nick Stevens was the same.  Juddy wasnt. 

You win some you lose some, but the impact of that happening is the point.  It causes angst, robs you of a solid performer who can impact games, and means they are on there to impact games less, or arent able to when you need them.

Sounds like a certain ruckman that is garnering more attention, except we have already paid the price here.

Im not even saying he should go, but when we talk list management and moving players on, these candidates sit in possibly tradeable for the right price, and more of a priority to move on ALA marchbank.

Nick Stevens broke his neck and still played a few games before he found out. So its not like he was soft - like people would often suggest.
Juddy started with OP and dodgy shoulders and ended up with a knee, so he was far from bullet proof either.

We cut so many 'injury prone players' last year...possibly too many because it hurt our depth.
I think we've been pretty lucky with some of the kids who have stepped up this year and done ok.
Hands up anyone who thought Matt Carroll would get a game. He's had 7 i think.
Will white? Up to game 9!
HOK, HOF, Lucas
Lord taken the next step as well.

I'm not sure what Williams is on, but its not going to be as much as people expect.
Even if it is (which it isn't) if you stack his numbers up against any other small forward on our list (and we have 27 of them) he outperforms them all in terms of output. Even using simply goals, he is 1/2 goal clear on most if not all others.
Williams might be ahead of our other small forwards but he is a mile of the better ones in the top teams ...if you tried to trade him we would be lucky if we got a bite and even then the return would be minimal imho.
I agree no player is soft who takes the field given every game now is a physical no holds barred contest fest but he is inconsistent in his attack on the ball and that makes him a liability imho and if I could get an upgrade on him I would.

Re: AFL Rd 13 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Essendon

Reply #142


Nick Stevens broke his neck and still played a few games before he found out. So its not like he was soft - like people would often suggest.
Juddy started with OP and dodgy shoulders and ended up with a knee, so he was far from bullet proof either.

We cut so many 'injury prone players' last year...possibly too many because it hurt our depth.
I think we've been pretty lucky with some of the kids who have stepped up this year and done ok.
Hands up anyone who thought Matt Carroll would get a game. He's had 7 i think.
Will white? Up to game 9!
HOK, HOF, Lucas
Lord taken the next step as well.

I'm not sure what Williams is on, but its not going to be as much as people expect.
Even if it is (which it isn't) if you stack his numbers up against any other small forward on our list (and we have 27 of them) he outperforms them all in terms of output. Even using simply goals, he is 1/2 goal clear on most if not all others.
Williams might be ahead of our other small forwards but he is a mile of the better ones in the top teams ...if you tried to trade him we would be lucky if we got a bite and even then the return would be minimal imho.
I agree no player is soft who takes the field given every game now is a physical no holds barred contest fest but he is inconsistent in his attack on the ball and that makes him a liability imho and if I could get an upgrade on him I would.

No one will trade for him because of his history and the fact he is 31. He might not be as good as other clubs equivalents, but so what, he's still the best performed bloke we've got, so maybe forget about his age, his pay packet, his previous injury history and give the bloke some credit for what he is doing on the footy field.

This is not directed at anyone specifically, but the footballing world as a whole.
Everyone is quick to sink the boots in, nobody will give him any kudos though.

Re: AFL Rd 13 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Essendon

Reply #143
Williams has been subbed off twice this year with 10% and 20% game time respectively.  His time on the ground for his other six games is quite respectable with 2 X 65%, 73%, 79%, 81% and 82%.  Of course, he missed games after his Round 7 injury and we can't really afford to have a player of his calibre out of the side.

What Williams has over most other small/medium forwards is his versatility.  He is effective when he goes into the midfield and his ability to run and carry is better than most.  When Cowan was injured against Collingwood, Zac was switched into defence and played a very good game.  Zac gives our forward line a different dimension and he gives Vossy a player who can take on different roles as required.  That in itself is a big positive.
It's still the Gulf of Mexico, Don Old!

Re: AFL Rd 13 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Essendon

Reply #144
I'll bite.
Williams has value as a chaos ball half forward opportunist.  He's close to the only one on the list that can make goals out of nothing. So, in that respect he gets a game.
But he wasn't recruited to play that role and must be considered an expensive FA bust.
Do not expect him to play meaningful minutes on ball, or in defence, because it will end in tears or frustration.
Get out the tape of Williams playing in defence on the last (wet) game versus the pies, his "contesting", or more correctly lack thereof, was embarassing.  I'm surprised Voss didn't walk on to the ground and drag him off by the collar. 
DrE is no more... you ok with that harmonica man?

Re: AFL Rd 13 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Essendon

Reply #145

Williams might be ahead of our other small forwards but he is a mile of the better ones in the top teams ...if you tried to trade him we would be lucky if we got a bite and even then the return would be minimal imho.
I agree no player is soft who takes the field given every game now is a physical no holds barred contest fest but he is inconsistent in his attack on the ball and that makes him a liability imho and if I could get an upgrade on him I would.

No one will trade for him because of his history and the fact he is 31. He might not be as good as other clubs equivalents, but so what, he's still the best performed bloke we've got, so maybe forget about his age, his pay packet, his previous injury history and give the bloke some credit for what he is doing on the footy field.

This is not directed at anyone specifically, but the footballing world as a whole.
Everyone is quick to sink the boots in, nobody will give him any kudos though.
Fair enough, I probably have my biases and non negotiables that I expect from every player and can be rigid in my views and its not personal because of Zac Williams paypacket, injury woes etc....Sam Docherty who everyone loves including me for his fight and grit both on and off the field has been an offender in poor attack on the ball this season at times and I gave him a spray when he didnt meet the standards needed to win the game as i will any other players who fall short.
 

Re: AFL Rd 13 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Essendon

Reply #146
I'll bite.
Williams has value as a chaos ball half forward opportunist.  He's close to the only one on the list that can make goals out of nothing. So, in that respect he gets a game.
But he wasn't recruited to play that role and must be considered an expensive FA bust.
Do not expect him to play meaningful minutes on ball, or in defence, because it will end in tears or frustration.
Get out the tape of Williams playing in defence on the last (wet) game versus the pies, his "contesting", or more correctly lack thereof, was embarassing.  I'm surprised Voss didn't walk on to the ground and drag him off by the collar.

Silvagni wasn't recruited to play key back. - Is he a bust?
McGovern was a forward, now a back, now a forward again?? - Is he a bust??

Thats a weird way to evaluate success/failures.



 

Re: AFL Rd 13 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Essendon

Reply #148
I'll bite.
Williams has value as a chaos ball half forward opportunist.  He's close to the only one on the list that can make goals out of nothing. So, in that respect he gets a game.
But he wasn't recruited to play that role and must be considered an expensive FA bust.
Do not expect him to play meaningful minutes on ball, or in defence, because it will end in tears or frustration.
Get out the tape of Williams playing in defence on the last (wet) game versus the pies, his "contesting", or more correctly lack thereof, was embarassing.  I'm surprised Voss didn't walk on to the ground and drag him off by the collar.

Silvagni wasn't recruited to play key back. - Is he a bust?
McGovern was a forward, now a back, now a forward again?? - Is he a bust??

Thats a weird way to evaluate success/failures.


McGovern and Williams were both taken on long term deals on decent money...Jack was a late pick who wasnt that highly rated at U18 level but had the right surname.
I wont speak for others but my expectation would be that McGovern and Williams would deliver consistent decent footy in the positions they were recruited to play and become cornerstone players.
The expectations with Jack would have been if he makes it as a player in any position it would be a bonus similar to his brother Ben when taken.