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Topic: List Building - More than one way to skin a cat (Read 48102 times) previous topic - next topic
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Re: List Building - More than one way to skin a cat

Reply #315 –
Quote from: Gointocarlton – on
Quote from: madbluboy – on
Sportsbet premiership odds

5th Sydney $10
11th StKilda $21
12th Carlton $41
Seems about right based on last year, their respective draws and what each club has lost and gained going into 2026.

Yep, us going backwards.
 

Re: List Building - More than one way to skin a cat

Reply #316 –
I wouldn't be paying much attention to predictions and betting odds. These things can turn on a dime. We were flag favorites after R3 in 2012 and we were flag favorites at the end of '23 and into '24. The season is so long - teams with bad starts can have good finishes and vice versa. Whatever mojo we need to win the flag has nothing to do with Charlie, De Koning or Silvagni - last year's results make that clear.

Re: List Building - More than one way to skin a cat

Reply #317 –
Quote from: PaulP – on
I wouldn't be paying much attention to predictions and betting odds. These things can turn on a dime. We were flag favorites after R3 in 2012 and we were flag favorites at the end of '23 and into '24. The season is so long - teams with bad starts can have good finishes and vice versa. Whatever mojo we need to win the flag has nothing to do with Charlie, De Koning or Silvagni - last year's results make that clear.

Its a prediction rather than a crystal ball.
But, there is something to be said about the wisdom of the masses and also putting money on the line. Its the best indication of what is expected that there is.

There are clearly a lot of variables. Everything from injuries to young talent development to older players falling off a cliff to shear luck and many more which will ultimately have a lot of sway in final positions.

But all things being equal, thats about right.
Things are never equal, and were probably due some luck.

Re: List Building - More than one way to skin a cat

Reply #318 –
It's a statistical algorithm based upon a pool of money placed in the expectation of outcome
DrE is no more... you ok with that harmonica man?

Re: List Building - More than one way to skin a cat

Reply #319 –
Yep
Take it for what it is.
It's a snapshot in time, and at the moment probably a pretty realistic assessment of our chances.
I think that probably most of us would have us around that 11th-12th position (plus or minus 2-3 each side of that.)

It'll change as injuries impact sides and pre-season and early season form throw up a few unexpected results.