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Topic: Blues v Swans semi final - pre game thead  (Read 91430 times) previous topic - next topic
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Re: Blues v Swans semi final - pre game thead

Reply #165
Yep, it's the same mistake everyone makes each year.  The semis always pit big winners against big losers, and the temptation is to think that the winners have better form and should butter up.  We tend to remember only the last game.  But the stats show that the losers in the Qualifying Finals are very likely to win in the semis.  Remember 2011 when we humiliated Essendon in the EF but fell short in the semi against the Eagles (although only just). 

There's also a massive difference between the 8 day break they have and the 6 day break for us.  Sydney should be favourites, but we're still in there with a chance.

Re: Blues v Swans semi final - pre game thead

Reply #166
Yep, it's the same mistake everyone makes each year.  The semis always pit big winners against big losers, and the temptation is to think that the winners have better form and should butter up.  We tend to remember only the last game.  But the stats show that the losers in the Qualifying Finals are very likely to win in the semis.  Remember 2011 when we humiliated Essendon in the EF but fell short in the semi against the Eagles (although only just).

even last year West Coast were all the rage after smashing North to topple the pies.
2012 HAPPENED!!!!!!!

Re: Blues v Swans semi final - pre game thead

Reply #167
Patrick Keane (AFL Media) has tweeted that Kreuzer is out and Casboult is in (with Sam Rowe added as an emergency).

https://twitter.com/AFL_PKeane
Big loss for us.
2021-Pi$$ or get off the pot
2022- Real Deal or more of the same? 0.6%
2023- "Raise the Standard" - M. Voss Another year wasted Bar Set
2024-Back to the drawing boardNo excuses, its time
2025-Carlton can win the 2025 AFL Premiership

Re: Blues v Swans semi final - pre game thead

Reply #168
Yep, it's the same mistake everyone makes each year.  The semis always pit big winners against big losers, and the temptation is to think that the winners have better form and should butter up.  We tend to remember only the last game.  But the stats show that the losers in the Qualifying Finals are very likely to win in the semis.  Remember 2011 when we humiliated Essendon in the EF but fell short in the semi against the Eagles (although only just). 

There's also a massive difference between the 8 day break they have and the 6 day break for us.  Sydney should be favourites, but we're still in there with a chance.

Exactly Mav... Media have short memories. Swans won 6 more games this year than us.

Form at the right time is the only thing in our favour.
"We are a club in a hurry"

#united #reset

Re: Blues v Swans semi final - pre game thead

Reply #169
Official;

SpecialK Out - Meat In
"Extremists on either side will always meet in the Middle!"

Re: Blues v Swans semi final - pre game thead

Reply #170
They played a great first half last week and a poor second one. We were the opposite.
2012 HAPPENED!!!!!!!

Re: Blues v Swans semi final - pre game thead

Reply #171

Might work to our advantage. The Cas does take a few more marks around the ground and has been kicking alot straighter lately. Good luck to him.
2025... Moir of the same to come

Re: Blues v Swans semi final - pre game thead

Reply #172
Casboult being not much use after half time might hurt us.

There seems to be some frustration with Krooz on here but he does a lot of unrewarded running.

Cas is next to useless for a third of the game when the tank goes.
You can fool some of the people some of the time.......................................

Re: Blues v Swans semi final - pre game thead

Reply #173
Casboult being not much use after half time might hurt us.

There seems to be some frustration with Krooz on here but he does a lot of unrewarded running.

Cas is next to useless for a third of the game when the tank goes.

Special K didn't offer a lot post injury last week in any event.

Interesting that Swans' two KPPs down back are 192cm and 193 cm respectively. Grundy and Ted R.

Cas at 199cm has  a very big height advantage. Waite too is 194cm?

Cas the same height as Mumford btw.
Finals, then 4 in a row!

Re: Blues v Swans semi final - pre game thead

Reply #174
Disappointed Kruz is out but but really pumped Levi is in… Got a feeling something special is coming from the big fella. 

Re: Blues v Swans semi final - pre game thead

Reply #175
Disappointed Kruz is out but but really pumped Levi is in… Got a feeling something special is coming from the big fella.

Same here - not really very surprised at the news. Let's hope this turns into one of those defining games where Levi can put on a special show - to quote a notorious footy caller. Drawing a long bow but hey, who knows!
Reality always wins in the end.

Re: Blues v Swans semi final - pre game thead

Reply #176
Happy Kreuz is out as he has given us not much in the past few weeks (obviously not his fault). The Swans will struggle to match up on Cas he should stay in the goalsquare for the long bomb.
Ignorance is bliss.

ONWARDS AND UPWARDS!

 

Re: Blues v Swans semi final - pre game thead

Reply #177
Casboult being not much use after half time might hurt us.

There seems to be some frustration with Krooz on here but he does a lot of unrewarded running.

Cas is next to useless for a third of the game when the tank goes.

Special K didn't offer a lot post injury last week in any event.

Interesting that Swans' two KPPs down back are 192cm and 193 cm respectively. Grundy and Ted R.

Cas at 199cm has  a very big height advantage. Waite too is 194cm?

Cas the same height as Mumford btw.

Krooz was still running, still tackling, still rucking and helping out in defence late in the game.

I hope Cas does well but up until now he's a shot duck halfway through the third.
You can fool some of the people some of the time.......................................

Re: Blues v Swans semi final - pre game thead

Reply #178
@CIMM

Kreuz wasn't chasing mate he was hobbling I promise you.

Cas kicked 3 goals in the last 40 mins of our game vs Richmond a few weeks ago including two strong marks in the goalsquare. The comments re him running out of steam are a myth trust me. The Hawks game earlier in the year he was simply outplayed in the second half by a smarter B. Lake. Granted that's just one example.
Ignorance is bliss.

ONWARDS AND UPWARDS!

Re: Blues v Swans semi final - pre game thead

Reply #179
@CIMM

Kreuz wasn't chasing mate he was hobbling I promise you.

Cas kicked 3 goals in the last 40 mins of our game vs Richmond a few weeks ago including two strong marks in the goalsquare. The comments re him running out of steam are a myth trust me. The Hawks game earlier in the year he was simply outplayed in the second half by a smarter B. Lake. Granted that's just one example.

Not a myth.

He struggles to run out second halves.

Krooz may have been hobbling but he was still getting back to help in defence late in the game.

Cas is the man up forward and he'll play just hope he can be good late.
You can fool some of the people some of the time.......................................