Re: Blues v Swans semi final - pre game thead Reply #165 – September 13, 2013, 09:24:26 am Yep, it's the same mistake everyone makes each year. The semis always pit big winners against big losers, and the temptation is to think that the winners have better form and should butter up. We tend to remember only the last game. But the stats show that the losers in the Qualifying Finals are very likely to win in the semis. Remember 2011 when we humiliated Essendon in the EF but fell short in the semi against the Eagles (although only just). There's also a massive difference between the 8 day break they have and the 6 day break for us. Sydney should be favourites, but we're still in there with a chance. Quote Selected Last Edit: September 13, 2013, 09:27:06 am by Mav
Re: Blues v Swans semi final - pre game thead Reply #166 – September 13, 2013, 09:27:02 am Quote from: Mav – on September 13, 2013, 09:24:26 amYep, it's the same mistake everyone makes each year. The semis always pit big winners against big losers, and the temptation is to think that the winners have better form and should butter up. We tend to remember only the last game. But the stats show that the losers in the Qualifying Finals are very likely to win in the semis. Remember 2011 when we humiliated Essendon in the EF but fell short in the semi against the Eagles (although only just). even last year West Coast were all the rage after smashing North to topple the pies. Quote Selected
Re: Blues v Swans semi final - pre game thead Reply #167 – September 13, 2013, 09:43:53 am Quote from: Mav – on September 13, 2013, 09:18:46 amPatrick Keane (AFL Media) has tweeted that Kreuzer is out and Casboult is in (with Sam Rowe added as an emergency).https://twitter.com/AFL_PKeaneBig loss for us. Quote Selected
Re: Blues v Swans semi final - pre game thead Reply #168 – September 13, 2013, 09:50:44 am Quote from: Mav – on September 13, 2013, 09:24:26 amYep, it's the same mistake everyone makes each year. The semis always pit big winners against big losers, and the temptation is to think that the winners have better form and should butter up. We tend to remember only the last game. But the stats show that the losers in the Qualifying Finals are very likely to win in the semis. Remember 2011 when we humiliated Essendon in the EF but fell short in the semi against the Eagles (although only just). There's also a massive difference between the 8 day break they have and the 6 day break for us. Sydney should be favourites, but we're still in there with a chance.Exactly Mav... Media have short memories. Swans won 6 more games this year than us.Form at the right time is the only thing in our favour. Quote Selected
Re: Blues v Swans semi final - pre game thead Reply #169 – September 13, 2013, 10:32:01 am Official;SpecialK Out - Meat In Quote Selected
Re: Blues v Swans semi final - pre game thead Reply #170 – September 13, 2013, 10:33:46 am They played a great first half last week and a poor second one. We were the opposite. Quote Selected
Re: Blues v Swans semi final - pre game thead Reply #171 – September 13, 2013, 10:44:16 am Quote from: LP – on September 13, 2013, 10:32:01 amOfficial;SpecialK Out - Meat InMight work to our advantage. The Cas does take a few more marks around the ground and has been kicking alot straighter lately. Good luck to him. Quote Selected
Re: Blues v Swans semi final - pre game thead Reply #172 – September 13, 2013, 10:51:20 am Casboult being not much use after half time might hurt us.There seems to be some frustration with Krooz on here but he does a lot of unrewarded running.Cas is next to useless for a third of the game when the tank goes. Quote Selected
Re: Blues v Swans semi final - pre game thead Reply #173 – September 13, 2013, 11:09:04 am Quote from: cimm1979 – on September 13, 2013, 10:51:20 amCasboult being not much use after half time might hurt us.There seems to be some frustration with Krooz on here but he does a lot of unrewarded running.Cas is next to useless for a third of the game when the tank goes.Special K didn't offer a lot post injury last week in any event.Interesting that Swans' two KPPs down back are 192cm and 193 cm respectively. Grundy and Ted R.Cas at 199cm has a very big height advantage. Waite too is 194cm?Cas the same height as Mumford btw. Quote Selected Last Edit: September 13, 2013, 11:10:37 am by flyboy77
Re: Blues v Swans semi final - pre game thead Reply #174 – September 13, 2013, 11:22:18 am Disappointed Kruz is out but but really pumped Levi is in… Got a feeling something special is coming from the big fella. Quote Selected
Re: Blues v Swans semi final - pre game thead Reply #175 – September 13, 2013, 11:26:44 am Quote from: The Fangalis – on September 13, 2013, 11:22:18 amDisappointed Kruz is out but but really pumped Levi is in… Got a feeling something special is coming from the big fella. Same here - not really very surprised at the news. Let's hope this turns into one of those defining games where Levi can put on a special show - to quote a notorious footy caller. Drawing a long bow but hey, who knows! Quote Selected
Re: Blues v Swans semi final - pre game thead Reply #176 – September 13, 2013, 11:44:53 am Happy Kreuz is out as he has given us not much in the past few weeks (obviously not his fault). The Swans will struggle to match up on Cas he should stay in the goalsquare for the long bomb. Quote Selected
Re: Blues v Swans semi final - pre game thead Reply #177 – September 13, 2013, 11:45:38 am Quote from: flyboy77 – on September 13, 2013, 11:09:04 amQuote from: cimm1979 – on September 13, 2013, 10:51:20 amCasboult being not much use after half time might hurt us.There seems to be some frustration with Krooz on here but he does a lot of unrewarded running.Cas is next to useless for a third of the game when the tank goes.Special K didn't offer a lot post injury last week in any event.Interesting that Swans' two KPPs down back are 192cm and 193 cm respectively. Grundy and Ted R.Cas at 199cm has a very big height advantage. Waite too is 194cm?Cas the same height as Mumford btw.Krooz was still running, still tackling, still rucking and helping out in defence late in the game.I hope Cas does well but up until now he's a shot duck halfway through the third. Quote Selected
Re: Blues v Swans semi final - pre game thead Reply #178 – September 13, 2013, 11:54:54 am @CIMMKreuz wasn't chasing mate he was hobbling I promise you.Cas kicked 3 goals in the last 40 mins of our game vs Richmond a few weeks ago including two strong marks in the goalsquare. The comments re him running out of steam are a myth trust me. The Hawks game earlier in the year he was simply outplayed in the second half by a smarter B. Lake. Granted that's just one example. Quote Selected
Re: Blues v Swans semi final - pre game thead Reply #179 – September 13, 2013, 12:38:43 pm Quote from: PassIt2Carrots – on September 13, 2013, 11:54:54 am@CIMMKreuz wasn't chasing mate he was hobbling I promise you.Cas kicked 3 goals in the last 40 mins of our game vs Richmond a few weeks ago including two strong marks in the goalsquare. The comments re him running out of steam are a myth trust me. The Hawks game earlier in the year he was simply outplayed in the second half by a smarter B. Lake. Granted that's just one example.Not a myth.He struggles to run out second halves.Krooz may have been hobbling but he was still getting back to help in defence late in the game.Cas is the man up forward and he'll play just hope he can be good late. Quote Selected