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Topic: AFL Rd 20 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn (Read 56686 times) previous topic - next topic
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Re: AFL Rd 20 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn

Reply #45
On a positive note we do have some "Emerald Sprouts" in our under 21 contingent.
The thing with young'uns is they have to develop consistency.
That often takes a year or three.
You won't see it every game.
You won't necessarily see it every quarter of a game.
It might be two players 'shining' one week, a different two another week.
Until they've spent some years playing together and develop that 'team' understanding we may not see the best of them.

It wasn't so long ago I was a bit apprehensive about the future and thought we were putting too much emphasis on the present and not planning for the years AC (after Cripps)... and the Four Horsemen of the 2015 draft.
That seems to have changed quite a bit.
We're not looking too bad when these kids get a few years and games under their belt.

I'm very wary of a few things when evaluating our kids.

1. Its their first year and that usually gets them more freedom - eg Hollands dominated his 1st year, went missing a bit in his second.
Is it sustainable or is simply because opposition players don't know what to expect from then yet and can't plan for them. Sample size not big enough.

2. Is there room to grow.
Will White, Matt Carroll, Cooper Lord, Corey Durdin, Flynn Young etc. They are all, somewhat, performing a role that you could consider AFL worthy.....mostly.
However, how much better can they get? What exactly are they good at? What are they elite at? Lord and Carroll look like they belong the most, but i'm still not sold on them long term. At or above expectations now. Will they take another step? Can they??

3. Similar to #2, but with different players.
HOK, HOF and Moir. They all need to put on a bit more size to compete at the level long term. IMO, they all have some attributes that make them elite though.  HOKs speed/agility for his size is rare. HOFs marking is elite. Moir clearly has x-factor. Can they keep this up long term with a bit more size and can they do that while carrying niggles like every other AFL footballer who plays each week?

There are promising signs, absolutely, but its a far cry from having a bunch of AA talent in the works.

They may not all make it.
But it's probably likely that given their age, they all have a bit of improvement ahead of them, and will benefit from time together.

I think when we're looking to do a bit of a cull the focus should now be on the older group rather than the young contingent.

Re: AFL Rd 20 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn

Reply #46
I can't see how Austin survives unless Lloyd gets the blame for his list management decisions.
2012 HAPPENED!!!!!!!

Re: AFL Rd 20 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn

Reply #47
I think the general consenus is that Austin is on shaky ground.
But it may be the club take a wider view, and see the current position as something of a transitional period
Our strength (such as it is) has been based around a senior group...in recent times we've seen a move to a more youthful side in our recruiting.
It may be we're just at the moment at a point where we're bottoming out, more a trough than rock bottom, as these two distinct groups combine.

We're seeing an end to players that are injured more often than not.
We'll see off one or two of the older players.
Now if we did one of those best 22's at the moment I suspect it would have changed from the one we did pre-season.
Put our best 22 out there (and we saw a glimpse of some of them in the stands last night) and we suddenly look a lot better.
Give these youngsters who are getting a taste now, and place them into the mix and we have some depth.
A bit of smart recruiting for a few positions of specific need and we wouldn't be in as bad a shape as we think.
....and Austin maybe doesn't look so bad.
I reckon it's probably 50/50 on him staying.

A decision on Austin will come sooner rather than later as we'll need our recruiting people in place for the trade period.

Re: AFL Rd 20 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn

Reply #48
as predicted long bombs into f50 and away goes hawks Trouble is not last  night game but the last 2 F>>K>N years thats why it is so disappointing  Voss and Co have failed

Re: AFL Rd 20 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn

Reply #49
as predicted long bombs into f50 and away goes hawks Trouble is not last  night game but the last 2 F>>K>N years thats why it is so disappointing  Voss and Co have failed
I lost count of the amount of times the hawks players got away with two hands in the back in these circumstances.

We were kicking long to contests too much but Tom barras in particular got away with it.

Meanwhile other end, Hawks got two freebies in this regard.
"everything you know is wrong"

Paul Hewson

 

Re: AFL Rd 20 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn

Reply #51
We were beat up by a professional, ruthless, skilled and well drilled team in the first quarter.
The rest of the game didn't matter to me.
We have a long, long way to go

Re: AFL Rd 20 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn

Reply #52
I can't see how Austin survives unless Lloyd gets the blame for his list management decisions.

It's not 'blame' it's accountability.
Only our ruthless best, from Board to bootstudders will get us no. 17

Re: AFL Rd 20 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn

Reply #53
Only because he was caught out and was told to. He and his management aren't very clever at all.
100% correct
how is Charlie at fault for the initial rumour and after categorically retracting he is also at fault for looking to begin with?


Seems very hypocritical when its likely a pretend rumour.
"everything you know is wrong"

Paul Hewson

Re: AFL Rd 20 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn

Reply #54

100% correct
how is Charlie at fault for the initial rumour and after categorically retracting he is also at fault for looking to begin with?


Seems very hypocritical when its likely a pretend rumour.
People can believe its fake news if they want.
2021-Pi$$ or get off the pot
2022- Real Deal or more of the same? 0.6%
2023- "Raise the Standard" - M. Voss Another year wasted Bar Set
2024-Back to the drawing boardNo excuses, its time
2025-Carlton can win the 2025 AFL Premiership

Re: AFL Rd 20 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn

Reply #55
where theres smoke…….

a lot on here also said the TDK would re sign.

Re: AFL Rd 20 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn

Reply #56


I'm very wary of a few things when evaluating our kids.

1. Its their first year and that usually gets them more freedom - eg Hollands dominated his 1st year, went missing a bit in his second.
Is it sustainable or is simply because opposition players don't know what to expect from then yet and can't plan for them. Sample size not big enough.

2. Is there room to grow.
Will White, Matt Carroll, Cooper Lord, Corey Durdin, Flynn Young etc. They are all, somewhat, performing a role that you could consider AFL worthy.....mostly.
However, how much better can they get? What exactly are they good at? What are they elite at? Lord and Carroll look like they belong the most, but i'm still not sold on them long term. At or above expectations now. Will they take another step? Can they??

3. Similar to #2, but with different players.
HOK, HOF and Moir. They all need to put on a bit more size to compete at the level long term. IMO, they all have some attributes that make them elite though.  HOKs speed/agility for his size is rare. HOFs marking is elite. Moir clearly has x-factor. Can they keep this up long term with a bit more size and can they do that while carrying niggles like every other AFL footballer who plays each week?

There are promising signs, absolutely, but its a far cry from having a bunch of AA talent in the works.

They may not all make it.
But it's probably likely that given their age, they all have a bit of improvement ahead of them, and will benefit from time together.

I think when we're looking to do a bit of a cull the focus should now be on the older group rather than the young contingent.

I don't think they will all make it.
I don't think they will all make it......past this off-season!
I expect some to be cut, its almost a requirement that some be cut with our extended rookie list, unless we upgrade a few.

I did an age breakdown of our list in another thread, but there is some issues with ditching the older folk.

IMO,
The 30+ blokes deserve to go on, largely.
The late 20's 'spine' is where we need to cash in a bit.
The mid 20's is the area that we can least afford to lose players from, but thats exactly where TDK and Walsh sit....and not much else.
The early 20's is pretty good for senior listed players and a couple rookies thrown in for good measure.
The youngest players are largely exempt from such discussions as they are under contract.

Its the 'top up' players who are the ones with the biggest question marks, some of which we discussed earlier. Youngest and early 20's....but close to their 'ceiling' and not really worth persisting with IMO.

Re: AFL Rd 20 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn

Reply #57
where theres smoke…….

a lot on here also said the TDK would re sign.
I was one, but that was before the 1.7M figure came out. It takes ridiculous money to pry loyalty/mateship, that's ridiculous money indeed,
2021-Pi$$ or get off the pot
2022- Real Deal or more of the same? 0.6%
2023- "Raise the Standard" - M. Voss Another year wasted Bar Set
2024-Back to the drawing boardNo excuses, its time
2025-Carlton can win the 2025 AFL Premiership

Re: AFL Rd 20 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn

Reply #58
The Dawks embraced, wholeheartedly, the role of villains to spoil our party. They came to win. We came to celebrate two champs.
Only our ruthless best, from Board to bootstudders will get us no. 17

Re: AFL Rd 20 2025 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Hawthorn

Reply #59
The Dawks embraced, wholeheartedly, the role of villains to spoil our party. They came to win. We came to celebrate two champs.
Seen that movie before under Clarko.
Reality always wins in the end.