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Topic: AFLW 2025 Rd 12 Carlton vs West Coast at Perth (Read 73 times) previous topic - next topic
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AFLW 2025 Rd 12 Carlton vs West Coast at Perth

Big game this week...big ins.

Both Hill and McKay are back.

Out: Skepper and O'Connell.

Bit surprised about Skepper, thought there was a few in line before her, but so be it.

Re: AFLW 2025 Rd 12 Carlton vs West Coast at Perth

Reply #1 –
I wrote this last week, but a cut and paste to remind everyone...
Quote from: kruddler – on
If we win, we are in.
If we draw, we are in.
If either Adelaide or Sydney draw, we are in.
If any of Saints, Adelaide or Sydney lose, we are in, even if we lose. (Fremantle are so far behind % wise, that it doesn't matter)

If we lose and everyone below us wins, we can still be in, but it'll come down to %.
West Coast go above us if they win as their % is already better than ours.
Saints got above us if they win as they are on the same points as us already.
Adelaide and Sydney are about a 2-3-goal margin behind us in terms of %, so these results matter.

So VERY roughly speaking....
If Adelaide winning margin + Our losing margin > 2-3 goals, it will be pretty even % wise between us
If Sydney winning margin + Our losing margin > 2-3 goals, it will be pretty even % wise between us.

Of course, none of that matters if we win.