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Topic: AFL First Wildcard Final 2026 Pre Game Predictions Carlton vs Melbourne at the G (Read 2739 times) previous topic - next topic
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Re: AFL First Wildcard Final 2026 Pre Game Predictions Carlton vs Melbourne at the G

Reply #45
Imo, we just need to try and reduce Gawn's marking impact around the ground. Not worried about anything else he does, our mids can ruck to his hitouts.

Exactly.

Who is best placed to do that? IMO, Young.

Re: AFL First Wildcard Final 2026 Pre Game Predictions Carlton vs Melbourne at the G

Reply #46
just dont kick to Max wen he drifts into F50 ,make him accountable

Re: AFL First Wildcard Final 2026 Pre Game Predictions Carlton vs Melbourne at the G

Reply #47
just dont kick to Max wen he drifts into F50 ,make him accountable
Exactly, we have multiple marking goal kicking targets, he can't stand in front of them all.

In any case with the Dee outs, I suspect they want Gawn pushing F50 more than floating D50.
"Extremists on either side will always meet in the Middle!"

Re: AFL First Wildcard Final 2026 Pre Game Predictions Carlton vs Melbourne at the G

Reply #48
Pitto’s “ruck nerd” discussion that’s in today’s Age and various other places gives a good insight into how he tackles Gawn.  It basically boils down to limiting where Gawn can direct his taps so that our midfielders can shark the ball.
"Negative waves are not helpful. Try saying something righteous and hopeful instead." Oddball

Re: AFL First Wildcard Final 2026 Pre Game Predictions Carlton vs Melbourne at the G

Reply #49
I’ve got a spare tix if anyone would like tonight.
Level 2, N41, MCC - dry bay no alcohol though.
PayID available

Re: AFL First Wildcard Final 2026 Pre Game Predictions Carlton vs Melbourne at the G

Reply #50
Pitto’s “ruck nerd” discussion that’s in today’s Age and various other places gives a good insight into how he tackles Gawn.  It basically boils down to limiting where Gawn can direct his taps so that our midfielders can shark the ball.
As I've said, winning the tap is over-rated by fans, when they talk about taps they expose a naivety of their understanding of ruck contests.

Good rucks can lose the tap and still control the space, leaving less options for opponents and a greater chance for team-mates to contest. They do this by controlling the angle of approach, the side of the opponent's body they contact, how they rotate through the contest affects what the opponent does, and where the ball falls relative to the opponent's body. Also, where they move and what they do immediately after landing. In effect you turn the centre circle into a semi-circle closing off half the available options.

It's called controlling the ruck, and it has very little to do with the tap, and it makes the outcome of the stoppage / contest more predictable for the midfield.
"Extremists on either side will always meet in the Middle!"

Re: AFL First Wildcard Final 2026 Pre Game Predictions Carlton vs Melbourne at the G

Reply #51
Sportsbet have now got Melbourne slight favourite  in from $2.20 to $1.93. Late out for Carlton????

 

Re: AFL First Wildcard Final 2026 Pre Game Predictions Carlton vs Melbourne at the G

Reply #52
Sportsbet have now got Melbourne slight favourite  in from $2.20 to $1.93. Late out for Carlton????

I think they are entitled to a slight favoritism.

Re: AFL First Wildcard Final 2026 Pre Game Predictions Carlton vs Melbourne at the G

Reply #53
It's changing by the minute at Sportsbet...all locked up at $1.92 at the moment
Half an hour ago we were in to $1.88.