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Messages - LP

1
Robert Heatley Stand / Re: AFL Rd 8 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Collingwood
Our whole side has lost confidence, it makes them hesitant, and when they hesitate they look slow and are under more pressure using the footy than the need to be.

The trick will be to go regardless of making mistakes, you have to forget the past and plough ahead knowing you can never be perfect.

For me this was the only disappointing aspect of Kemp being dropped, he made some early mistakes the past few weeks, but he at least persisted and come good later in games. He won't be perfect, nobody is perfect, and we can't expect all our defenders to be like Weitering, that is just unrealistic.
2
Robert Heatley Stand / Re: AFL Rd 8 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Collingwood
Fantasia.
The less said about Fantasia the better, when BT starts groaning about his mate "Orrrrazzzzio" you know there is a problem!

Pitto dominated early. Went off and the pies dominated. He came back in and we held our own again. Pies nullified his influence in the second half well. Tdk was just another body in the ruck. Thankfully he kicked a couple.
I reckon that broken nose care of Cripps took a bit more out of Pitto than we suspect, but we must not ignore the change in the umpiring of the ruck contest after the first few minutes of the first. It seems the AFL can now change rules dynamically during the game.

Charlie did not play great, but he was probably up against his hardest opponent of the year who is more slouch, both physically and intellectually. Still kicked a couple.
Charlie is not in great form, but he is working at it, he always looks a bit laconic.

Williams has a big target on his back and it was made bigger with the early frees against. They were a bit harsh and just about pushed him over the edge. His hammy will probably come as a relief for him.
Why he was singled out by the umpires and not a bunch of others is a mystery, it seems if you are a Filth KPD you can hold a Carlton KPF all you like, but if a Carlton MD holds a Filth SF and you are done!

Young was not terrible for his standards, but is still not performing as well as we need him too. We better have an alternative option lined up in the off-season.
He's just not physical or reactive enough, spent a lot of time watching others run around him.
3
Robert Heatley Stand / Re: VFL Rd 6 2024 Carlton vs Werribee at Werribee
Watching our VFL, there is a sameness about the problems facing both AFL and VFL teams, it suggests a systematic cause.

We seem to demand contested marking from our talls, like giving them an easy mark on the lead is banned, yet despite having that contested marking approach we have few or no smalls crumbing front and square. In our F50 we basically surrender the footy if we fail to mark it.

Watch last night, nobody is out marking Harry or Charlie more than very occasionally, our KPFs regularly bring the footy to ground against 2 or 3 opponents, but there is hardly ever a Carlton small at the foot of the contest. Watch the VFL, it's very same same.
7
Robert Heatley Stand / Re: AFL Rd 8 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Collingwood
Walsh, Harry, Pitto, Cripps basically played four quarters with an opponent arm around their waist like Williams did to Elliott, and not one free for it.

5 clearances in the opening quarter, then the umpires went back to the old ruck rules, that is adjudication by opinion. TDK gets penalised if he jumps at opponents like Cox started jumping at Pitto.
8
The Sports Desk / Re: Commonwealth Games.
Andrews needed a “That would be a very courageous decision Mr Premier,” rather than the unqualified agreement of sycophantic political advisors.
I think there is a specific case, and a more general case.

My assertions are the more general case, regarding the hosting and bidding for Commonwealth games in any location. It seems those in the Commonwealth Games supply chain have learned quickly from the IOC and it's perceived corrupt ways, it's no longer about sport.

In the more specific case of the Commonwealth Games Australia, I'm not sure the embedded bureaucracy is trusted and to support that assertion we could point to the ever growing use of "Consultants" by the state governments. Even more bizarre is the perceived distancing of the event by Federal Politics, surely it's a national event, this competition between states seems ............... When you have entities that profit from failure as much as they profit from success, a win win for some, the path of least resistance will be the ultimate result no matter what the cost!
9
The Sports Desk / Re: Commonwealth Games.
Nice for the athletes, good for us spectators because medals come thick and fast, but in the scheme of things with Olympics and world championships every two years as well as the lucrative circuits, like the Diamond League in athletics, the event has lost a great deal of its prestige.
My understanding one of the next major targets for the Arabs will be athletics / Olympics, they are planning to disrupt a swath of the games in much the same way they have disrupted golf.
12
The Sports Desk / Re: Commonwealth Games.
I'm a bit ambivalent to the Commonwealth Games situation, for me it is a tragedy for the athletes but most of the finger pointing and rhetoric seems to be coming from various hangers on, bureaucrats, supply chain and political aspirants.

As more and more issues surface, it looks to me like another too many fat pigs in the trough scenario that has spoilt things for everybody. All that money, bugger all actually going to the development of the athletes.
14
Robert Heatley Stand / Re: AFL Rd 7 2024 Post Game Prognostications Carlton vs Geelong
i reckon a lot of teams roll the dice with this.  hold the playmaker at every opportuinity - they arent going to call it every time.  so, you hold him at 100 stopages, and they pay 2 free kicks.  pretty good result
What I've always stated is that it's the when and where that is more important than the count.

Sometimes they call it when you've got a clear break and kill your momentum, sometimes you get it on the HBF or Wing where it makes stuff all difference, then all of a sudden someone gets the odd one in front of goal which can be game changing.

I do like the NRL system, which as part of it's score review looks at infringements through the whole chain of play / possession to the score, start taking goals off teams who infringe in the chain of play and you'll see it greatly diminish. They wouldn't need to do it for everything, just when a goal is actually scored. Like that push in the back to Young last weekend.
15
Blah-Blah Bar / Laws, bans, $
I don't get some of the proposed changes to laws surrounding domestic violence and deep fake porn, etc., etc., they seem to be based on a rather naïve outlook on society. I suspect the government is being lead by social media factors not good policy.

Firstly, offering cash for abused women you'll get as many spurious claims as you get genuine, some may claim the cost is for the greater good, but really it's just another loophole that will make the process unmanageable. What victims of domestic violence need is physical protection, not a nice dinner before being beaten to death. Pieces of paper are ultimately worthless as defence against weapons or fists.

Banning deep fake porn seems to be a confusion of revenge porn, I'd assert there are as many women making a living out of the deep fake stuff as are being harmed by it, so in that regard a blanket ban probably analogous to banning prostitution. All it will do is send the industry underground making it harder to police. In any case is the producer of deep fakes is doing so for nefarious reasons, the laws related to fraud already exist, and apply not just to porn but also schemes like the misrepresentation of celebrities in online Ponzi schemes.

Finally, bans in general tend to be a lure rather than a deterrent. The people who won't do this stuff don't do it already, and the people likely to do it are almost encouraged by making it harder to do and effectively more lucrative. If you want to stop people doing this stuff, find a way to demonetise it.