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Messages - LP

1
Blah-Blah Bar / Re: The Climate, Environment and Energy Thread
Has the reality of Green Energy is been exposed by various federal budget announcements?

For years I've been hearing claims, Green is no cheaper, cut oil subsidies, kick out the dirty polluters, let Green compete fair and square, then the budget cuts, and it's Green Energy can't survive without help!

How can that be, it seems both positions cannot be true, is it really cheaper, if so why then why is it now being claimed that diminished subsidies will signal a Green Energy death?

Isn't the ultimate target reduce CO2 emissions by any means, not just through monopolised funding?
2
Robert Heatley Stand / Re: AFL Rd 10 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs Sydney
These mind games can go either way. It could give us a mental edge, and simultaneously prey on the Swans' minds. Or it could  make us complacent and simultaneously make the Swans go harder to buck the trend. Hoping of course for the former.
I suspect the Swans will feel duded after our last encounter, that has already been voiced and you could see it in faces post match, Blakey in particular. In the media following that game the focus was on the Swans bad kicking, under 40% accuracy with some relatively easy set shots being missed. They basically thought they won the battle but lost the game, I tend to agree.

Looks like light showers Friday night, how does that work for us playing the SCG?

I think this week we must keep BigH one out in the square, with a corridor between him and the CHF to lead into Plugger style. He's quick enough, there is no need for him to make everything a marking contest, just push off and go then rinse and repeat. He covers enough ground, he can do the repeat sprints no problem, he has the aerobic capacity. If they use a number to float into the zone, hit up Charlie instead. Just make sure we can deliver on the midfield wins when we get them.
3
Robert Heatley Stand / Re: AFL Rd 10 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs Sydney
https://www.sen.com.au/news/2024/05/15/the-fremantle-curse-that-would-give-carlton-plenty-of-hope-against-sydney/

I'm not really a believer in the supernatural, but if it works, I'll take it.
You might recall teams in recent seasons often fell the week after playing us also, I think it's a statement about the game style, mindset and tactics rather than a curse.

Teams are so accustomed to defeating us that when we hit the front they are almost shocked into action, games go to the death, they never give up, how dare Carlton think it might defeat us! The whole current generation of AFL senior players seems to have this attitude / midnset, even the media barrack against us, sows seeds of doubt, how long can Carlton keep it up, the tone is unmistakeable, it sounds familiar because you are always hearing it. For what it is worth, I'm not even sure when things get tight that we still do not have doubts, we are Pavlov's Dogs!

It's why I bang on about our fan base needing to learn to barrack loudly unconditionally, go quiet and the "Silence like a cancer grows!" Last week, we must have outnumbered the Melbourne fans base 3:1, yet in the dying minutes they sounded 3 times louder, it should never happen. Be like the Filth fans, scream "Ball", cheer "Marks" in anticipation before they are paid, and when umpire confirms the favourable decision cheer them as well, don't sit there schtum with faces of dread, get involved. The fan base can set Pavlov's Dog free!
4
Robert Heatley Stand / Re: fitness
About half or more of the current injury list probably results from collisions.

We have to consider if we want to play a certain contested game style, we will have a list that suffers more corkies and bruise type injuries, which then lead to the dreaded "soft tissue" problems.

Fan reaction is a little ironic, because if we play bruise free footy brand to avoid collisions fans also react poorly. I'd rather we play the way we currently do, and just accept at stages we will suffer injuries.

I've been banging on about the season long cost of our game style and continual living on the edge results, a situation that is inherently bad for soft tissue type injuries. We need to find a way to generate some easy wins or spates of soft tissue problems will be our never ending fate!

There is a cost for every choice that gets made, ours might be that our strong inside footy contested brand and edge of the seat tactics come with higher soft tissue injury rates.
6
Robert Heatley Stand / Re: Jim Park Voting 2024 AFL Rd 9 Carlton vs Melbourne
Team B

5 - Cripps
4 - Weiters
3 - Walsh
2 - Kennedy
1 - Pitto

Fans might think Cripps wasn't having an impact, but the bloke gets monstered on the inside at every stoppage with almost zero reward, then they reward him a free kick for a tiggy touchwood leveller on the outside as an apology. On the replay I noticed Kennedy doing a power of work, but he's carrying an injury of some sort and looks a bit sore at times. Had to give Pitto a vote, he basically stalled Gawn's influence which is a win.
8
Robert Heatley Stand / Re: AFL Rd 10 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs Sydney
I would think that Kennedy will get the job on Heeney. TDK usually does alright against Grundy.
Although I can't see us leaving Kennedy as a defender if Heeney pushes forward, that hurts our own midfield and gives the Swans an advantage.

Does Kemp have the aerobic capacity to run with Heeney everywhere and anywhere, he'd be a good match for the overhead stuff and has enough zip to stop Heeney breaking away?

Heeney presents a similar problem for opponents as our own Martin, they both are agile and play in traffic very well, but are far better overhead than comparably sized opponents.
9
Robert Heatley Stand / Re: AFL Rd 10 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs Sydney
Charles is leading the Coleman. He has kicked a goal in every one of his last 56? Games which is a record a that goes back decades to find a peer I believe. I'm not sure how out of form he is.

However that out of form also coincides with playing 2 rucks. Harry being in the 50 full time during the period you mentioned.
Charlie has been inconsistent all season, but I admit he and coach have stated his role is a little different this year, he's had moments when his ability shines and he can score quickly, but he is not consistent like he has been the previous two seasons. He's also scored a bunch more of the Joe the Goose type goals courtesy of Harry or TDK contesting while Charlie roves the back of the pack. While I understand his ability to recover quickly is unique for a player his size and shape, he needs the others contesting to do that but that is not how we want to see Charlie Curnow scoring goals, it should be an occasional feature not a method operandi.

I'd like to claim we don't need TDK or even Cripps and Pitto pressing forward, but at the moment TDK is proving valuable. He can't do that and ruck, and even if he does push or rest forward when rucking it probably means one of Charlie or BigH aren't there and the advantage of being the 3rd wheel that needs a cover is lost.

But this debate becomes silly when people demand one or the other, it has to be horses for courses, and I expect some weeks even if the list is in full health we should / would go with only one ruck.

10
Robert Heatley Stand / Re: AFL Rd 10 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs Sydney
It's like a broken record, if we win a flag with TDK and Pitto playing, they'll be telling us we would have won by more with only one!

BigH has consistently been our only effective forward in the last month or so, Charlie is in a rut, and the anti-ruck-duo brigade want BigH out of F50 and rucking when he doesn't really need to do so, even contemplating it momentarily is pure insanity!

"Nah, let's put BigH against Gawn, or perhaps next week he can follow Grundy around like a tagger, we shouldn't worry though because I'm sure Grundy will lead him into our F50 just to play fair." We can surrender the midfield clearance on the SCG, the ground that's one good kick from the midfield break to the goal square!

Of course, for the last 4 or 5 weeks our rucks and midfield have been flogged witless, no wonder we need to make change!
(Or would that be f0rk up the only lines we have that are consistently winning?)
12
Robert Heatley Stand / Re: AFL Rd 10 2024 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs Sydney
There seems to be some confusion about the criticism of Ollie's errors.

It's being assumed / inferred that the criticism means he played a bad game, but the assumption is very wrong.

I suspect some of those criticising Ollie for his errors will even give him votes!

It's no different to Walsh in the dying seconds of the Filth game, a huge error did not mean he played a bad game.
13
Blah-Blah Bar / Re: CV and mad panic behaviour
Just to dot point what im saying.  The vaccines were garbage the lockdowns not so much.
The statistical evidence of the efficacy for both lockdowns and vaccines is overwhelmingly positive, globally there are billions of tests cases for both, it's the great weakness in the anti-vax anti-lockdown position which just confirms all opinions are not equal.

Even more damning, are the statistics for the unvaccinated outcomes, pretty much any valid peer reviewed source shows the unvaccinated fell or had worse outcomes at massively higher rates to the vaccinated.

There are some scientific and specialist groups who remain anti-vax, but they have largely dropped the efficacy debate as it's a loser in any circle, they now choose to focus on the rare side-effects.

They know trying to debate that the vaccines weren't efficacious is like standing in front of an ocean while claiming water doesn't exist, so they won't even mention it out of the fear of lost credibility, but they remain happy to stoke those fires anonymously in social media. The have a generalised anti-vax position, some due to religion, maybe others due to trypanophobia.
14
Blah-Blah Bar / Re: CV and mad panic behaviour
A new variant of CoVid called " Flirt" has also hit our shores....not sure what the symptoms are and if it has anything to do with the name?🤔
Yes, and I've just got family coming back from the states!

But even so, some of the same people who predicted COVID about a decade before it happened, just a year or two after MERS they tried to warn authorities who largely ignored them. They think if the same mutation rates follow the same patterns they are predicting another pandemic with Avian Flu by the Mid 2030s, it really only a matter of when not if. The science was based on good evidence of what had happened in the evolution of the bugs between SARS in 2003 and MERS in 2012.

With these predictions the mutation part is random, they openly admit it could never become virulent or it could be deadly tomorrow, the problem is do you ignore the risk, like we ignored them last time?