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1
The Sports Desk / Re: God help me - the Cricket thread
Last post by DJC -
That's one of the most even batting performances I've seen in recent times; Head's 41 was the lowest score (by a batsman  ::) ) and he was a bit stiff to play on.  I'd rather see lots of 50s than one big hundred but I hope Inglis can carry on where he left off.

Watching Labuschagne bat is excruciating.  His over reactions to balls he misjudges are like a bad pantomime performer.  It was a relief that he only lasted five balls.
3
Ladies Lounge / AFLW Rd 12: Carlton vs Brisbane in Brisbane
Last post by crashlander -
Saturday at 17:05 in Brisbane.
Not a great time slot, but that seems to be par for the course these days. All the time slots are designed for TV, not spectators.

We probably go in as favourites, and we must win to keep a decent spot in the 8. We could end up as high as 4th. Lose ... not so good.

Brisbane have been playing better in recent weeks and will be formidable.
6
Blah-Blah Bar / Re: Shawny’s concerns about Victorian and Australian Governments
Last post by northernblue -


I suspect you wouldn't see a lot of difference in One Nation 'electoral' support between Victoria, and a place like Queensland.
It'd be pretty much the same around that low 20% mark.

That doesn't mean Northerners aren't more conservative/right leaning in their political views.
But those views are probably addressed by more 'right leaning' LNP and Independent candidates in the North.

Why switch to ON when you already have some who basically shares your political and social views.

The 'electoral' problem One Nation faces is that their support is patchy.
It will be particularly strong in some areas....up over 30% perhaps.
But in  others they will struggle around 10-15%
That's why the main focus in Victoria probably won't be the overall level of support for ON, but how it translates into actual seats in the parliament.

Maybe.

Its hardly statistically significant, but there are a few random different facebook groups (1000's on each) that sometimes stray into political debates. I would say 90% of the time One nation gets a push, its started from a QLDer.

Maybe its specific to this type of group(s) but thats where my gut feel comes from.
A qlder or a Russian qlder…?
8
Blah-Blah Bar / Re: Shawny’s concerns about Victorian and Australian Governments
Last post by kruddler -
Despite all of this, my gut feel is that one nation is a lot bigger in the northern states.

I suspect you wouldn't see a lot of difference in One Nation 'electoral' support between Victoria, and a place like Queensland.
It'd be pretty much the same around that low 20% mark.

That doesn't mean Northerners aren't more conservative/right leaning in their political views.
But those views are probably addressed by more 'right leaning' LNP and Independent candidates in the North.

Why switch to ON when you already have some who basically shares your political and social views.

The 'electoral' problem One Nation faces is that their support is patchy.
It will be particularly strong in some areas....up over 30% perhaps.
But in  others they will struggle around 10-15%
That's why the main focus in Victoria probably won't be the overall level of support for ON, but how it translates into actual seats in the parliament.

Maybe.

Its hardly statistically significant, but there are a few random different facebook groups (1000's on each) that sometimes stray into political debates. I would say 90% of the time One nation gets a push, its started from a QLDer.

Maybe its specific to this type of group(s) but thats where my gut feel comes from.
9
The Sports Desk / Re: God help me - the Cricket thread
Last post by DJC -
After Scotty Boland's batting in the 2nd Test, he could well be that "all-rounder"  :)
Let's not get too excited.

People forget though that before he started bowling Boland was actually an opening batsmen in sub-district, I think he started bowling because as an opening batsmen he had limitations! ;D

My problem with the Starc, is that he's the 1 in 5 man, his bowling along with Hazelwood not bowling, basically cost us the last test, our batting was poor but other than Boland nobody looked like making a dent. We made nowhere near enough, and they made way more than they ever should have! Today is the typical Starc problem, people have already forgotten 3 or 4 innings of top end pie chucking because he cleans up the tail end so effectively.

Today we have Starc saying without Lyon they all suffer, Lyon is saying he's nothing without Starc and Hazelwood, that's the @Professer E‍ cartel in full swing!

btw. They pumped up Lyon for his first wicket, but that Saffie bloke basically threw his wicket away, if instead they had batted along at regular pace it looked like they could make 200 each!

We've had this discussion before and Boland wasn't an opening bat in sub-district.  He opened the batting as a junior when all kids had to bat and bowl but moved down the order as he focused more on bowling.

My comment was tongue in cheek; Scotty has the ability and technigue to hold up an end as a nightwatchman, but he's never going to be a run-scoring allrounder.

As for Starc, he is the ICC's number 1 ranked Test bowler, Australia's fourth highest wicket-taker, and Wisden ranks him as the 4th best left-arm fast bowlers of all time.
10
Blah-Blah Bar / Re: Shawny’s concerns about Victorian and Australian Governments
Last post by DJC -
It is really worth listening to Richard Willingham on ABC radio.  He provides an objective analysis of each party's policy releases, why they've chosen that tack, and whether they're getting any traction.

Jess Wilson is campaigning well and the most recent polls give her the lead.  However, it seems that there's no uniform swing to the L-NP from the ALP and we should see a patchwork of results with some electorates sticking with the ALP, some being won by the L-NP and a couple going to PHON.  I'm sticking with my prediction of a minority government, probably L-NP, and a hostile upper house.