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Topic: AFL Rd 3 2026 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs Melbourne (Read 9700 times) previous topic - next topic
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Re: AFL Rd 3 2026 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs Melbourne

Reply #105 –
Both the mental aspect and statistical aspect can play a part in predicting an outcome on a player...and yes, luck is  also a factor-right place, right time, right coaches.

My original point was that a skinny 19-20 year old is not the same player as a 22-23 year old with 3-4 pre-seasons in a high performance strength and conditioning program.
Add to that the years of experience learning the tricks at an elite level and it 'can' be a completely different footballer.
So speculating that an individual won't make it is just a guess.

Statistics may give you a trend that shows the further down the draft the less chance of a long career, but there are enough exceptions to that rule to show that each player needs to be looked at as an individual rather than a draft pick.

@Kruddler-When Sheahan made his comment about players having to have at least one 'elite' quality was he talking about at AFL level or at under 18 level.
Because deep into the draft those picked up would probably register one elite aspect to their play at that u/18 level.
And at AFL level there would be plenty of footsoldiers who wouldn't register as elite in any category.


Re: AFL Rd 3 2026 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs Melbourne

Reply #106 –
Quote from: Lods – on
Both the mental aspect and statistical aspect can play a part in predicting an outcome on a player...and yes, luck is  also a factor-right place, right time, right coaches.

My original point was that a skinny 19-20 year old is not the same player as a 22-23 year old with 3-4 pre-seasons in a high performance strength and conditioning program.
Add to that the years of experience learning the tricks at an elite level and it 'can' be a completely different footballer.
So speculating that an individual won't make it is just a guess.

Statistics may give you a trend that shows the further down the draft the less chance of a long career, but there are enough exceptions to that rule to show that each player needs to be looked at as an individual rather than a draft pick.

@Kruddler-When Sheahan made his comment about players having to have at least one 'elite' quality was he talking about at AFL level or at under 18 level.
Because deep into the draft those picked up would probably register one elite aspect to their play at that u/18 level.
And at AFL level there would be plenty of footsoldiers who wouldn't register as elite in any category.




It takes a bit of everything to be an AFL footballer.

Elite pace is nothing without something else that is average to above average.

Elite ball winning is nothing if you cant hit a target.

Elite marking is nothing if you cant kick it.

Elite kicking is nothing if you cant get the ball.

All of the above are useless, if you have no smarts.

Give me smart footballers, that have a work ethic, and you will see a flag winning outfit sooner or later, with a sprinkle of players that have elite qualities. 

"everything you know is wrong"

Paul Hewson

Re: AFL Rd 3 2026 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs Melbourne

Reply #107 –
You can't play too many 18 -20 year olds no matter how good they are for their age.

2012 HAPPENED!!!!!!!
 

Re: AFL Rd 3 2026 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs Melbourne

Reply #108 –
Kevin Sheehan's AFL footballers' key attributes:
1. Clean hands (as in ball handling rather than hygiene).
2. Good disposal by hand and foot on both sides.
3. Sufficient athleticism - at least one of speed, agility and endurance.
4. Footy nous.
5. Positive attitude - great teammate, great self-belief and having great fun playing footy.
"Negative waves are not helpful. Try saying something righteous and hopeful instead." Oddball

Re: AFL Rd 3 2026 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs Melbourne

Reply #109 –
Quote from: madbluboy – on
You can't play too many 18 -20 year olds no matter how good they are for their age.

No argument from me.
It's why some will have to push for opportunities.

Re: AFL Rd 3 2026 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs Melbourne

Reply #110 –
Quote from: DJC – on

Scott is an experienced coach who would fully understand the pressures on young players and the intense competition for spots in an AFL team.  I’m pretty sure that he would also understand that parental interference and/or commentary won’t help.
If we looked at this objectively, analytically, without the influence of blood, then I hope we would find this to be correct.

I've seen too often firsthand at the Dev level how it all changes when it concerns a child or sibling. From dozens or perhaps even hundreds of cases as most seasons involve more than ten players across the competition in similar circumstances. I can count on one hand the instances when personal influence and bias were set aside by people in a position of privilege, the exceptions stand out because it's so so rare. Actually from a distance I'd say our current coach was one of those cases, Voss walked the walked on Casey's AFL career attempt, he kept it at arm's length, as such it would be impossible to accuse Voss or his son of nepotism or a conflict of interest. Voss didn't just talk the talk like some, he lived it, that is a level of integrity most never achieve, think of the willpower it takes to do this!
"Extremists on either side will always meet in the Middle!"

Re: AFL Rd 3 2026 Pre Game Prognostications Carlton vs Melbourne

Reply #111 –
Quote from: Lods – on
\@Kruddler-When Sheahan made his comment about players having to have at least one 'elite' quality was he talking about at AFL level or at under 18 level.
Because deep into the draft those picked up would probably register one elite aspect to their play at that u/18 level.
And at AFL level there would be plenty of footsoldiers who wouldn't register as elite in any category.

I don't think he specified that specifically, but are they not one and the same?
If someone has elite speed at U18 level, will he not have elite speed at AFL level? et al.

He's been pretty consistent about this over decades.
Part of the focus is to simply stand out and get noticed. People at the head of the queue, in any category, are har to overlook and ignore.
Some of those categories that are less about athletics, would be footy smarts and disposal. Some of those types would be your foot soldiers at AFL level.....along with tenacity, drive etc.

Ultimately, it comes down to this, and this is something i've tried to point out to my son.
You need to be able to be better than your opponent in something. How do you get the ball?
You need to have either....
- Better endurance
- Better speed
- Better agility
- More stength
- More smarts - knowing when/where to go. knowing which way the ball will bounce, fly in the air, bounce off a pack. When to leave your opponent and attack etc.

Without one of them, you will find it hard to get the ball.

Of course there are football skills, marking, kicking, tackling etc as well, but most of that works off the back of getting the ball, or getting in a position to get the ball.