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Re: General Discussions

Reply #2190
I think the general rule is now to 'forecast' a severe to worst  case scenario for these events.
I actually  don't have a huge problem with that.

So...here in Brisbane.
We've spent the last few days cleaning up the yard and securing loose garden furniture.
It'll take us a couple of days to put everything back (although it has perhaps given us an idea of things we really can do without)

The result so far is no damage that I can see, particularly in areas I was concerned about. (windows, roof, garage doors)
The power has (so far) stayed on
We've had summer storms worse than this.
No doubt true, at a localised level, but the scale of the Alfred system was enormous even by Tracy standards. The potential for sustained damage was huge, and the eye would only now be passing over residential regions delivering some of the potential rainfall. Let's hope everyone stays safe and well, and nobody else loses their life including The ADF volunteers caught up in the fallout.

The BOM have no choice, a few years back Italy jailed geologists and seismologists for not offering excessive warning about an earthquake, even though the probabilities were communicated accurately and obviously. The landscape on this has changed because of the fickle nature of the public's retrospective behaviour, they all want someone to blame.

I'd assert people should be thankful things turned out better than expected, it could easily have gone the other way.
"Extremists on either side will always meet in the Middle!"

Re: General Discussions

Reply #2191
LP, the eye of a cyclone is usually dry and sunny, the maelstrom is in the spiral around it, particularly the southern quadrant as evidenced by the rain bands over NSW.
The “back side” of the eye has the stronger winds and gets the benefit of throwing any debris from the initial winds back in the other direction, that’s when the real damage starts…
Depending on the amount of rain, the ground becomes sodden and otherwise solid trees will fall, cutting roads and damaging structures.
Other than that your points are correct, the BoM can’t win, everyone wants a scapegoat.
Let’s go BIG !

Re: General Discussions

Reply #2192
The “back side” of the eye has the stronger winds and gets the benefit of throwing any debris from the initial winds back in the other direction, that’s when the real damage starts…
@northernblue  Yes I'd read that earlier, that the potential for damage was greater after the eye passes, the system is so large people will confuse the eye passing as the end of the event.

The BOM is actively warning about this, but there are already "nutters" on Facebook proclaiming the event is over, that the alarmism was fake news, and that the cyclone was man made to cause deliberate economic and social harm to the general public. BOM is predicting excessively heavy rains and flooding to potentially continue for several days. Look at the damage today, and this is in the downgraded Cat 1 state, I hope everyone stays safe and well.

I'm all for freedom of speech, but fully accountable freedom of speech, not the unregulated chaos that the USA appears to be descending into.

The problem I have is this, are the "nutters" just a bunch of disaffected individuals, or are they state actors intent on causing harm and chaos? Unfortunately the truth probably is a bit of both.
"Extremists on either side will always meet in the Middle!"

Re: General Discussions

Reply #2193
Well, wish me luck folks.

Your truly is going in for spinal surgery early tomorrow morning, Mon Apr 7th.

For those who understand spines, discs C7 and C8 are rOOted - I believe that's the medical expression, though my orthopaedic surgeon calls it herniated discs. Back, right arm (tricep/forearm) and pinky and next two fingers pain, tingling and numbness come and go... mostly come!

Pain meds (Endone/Lyrica) help but I limit the doses as I don't want to become addicted or mask too much pain - don't want to aggravate the discs and those nerves by being oblivious and trying to build an extension on the house or something equally stupid. Without the meds, though, the pain is unbearable. Fortunately, at this stage, no permanent nerve damage - no loss of strength.

Yep, with surgery (they go in through the throat, FFS) imminent the PTSD surfaces and has a field day but anxiety meds and pain meds don't mix, so no benzos. Lots of walking around and getting on here to harass and irritate you good folk. Should be back in a few days to a week. If not back in a couple of weeks, you know I've gone to hang out with Jesus, Allah, Buddha and a few of those cats. Bet they're BlueBaggers.



Only our ruthless best, from Board to bootstudders will get us no. 17

Re: General Discussions

Reply #2194
Best of luck Shano. No doubt you'll be tip top after surgery and it will all be worth it.

Re: General Discussions

Reply #2195
Well, wish me luck folks.

Your truly is going in for spinal surgery early tomorrow morning, Mon Apr 7th.

For those who understand spines, discs C7 and C8 are rOOted - I believe that's the medical expression, though my orthopaedic surgeon calls it herniated discs. Back, right arm (tricep/forearm) and pinky and next two fingers pain, tingling and numbness come and go... mostly come!

Pain meds (Endone/Lyrica) help but I limit the doses as I don't want to become addicted or mask too much pain - don't want to aggravate the discs and those nerves by being oblivious and trying to build an extension on the house or something equally stupid. Without the meds, though, the pain is unbearable. Fortunately, at this stage, no permanent nerve damage - no loss of strength.

Yep, with surgery (they go in through the throat, FFS) imminent the PTSD surfaces and has a field day but anxiety meds and pain meds don't mix, so no benzos. Lots of walking around and getting on here to harass and irritate you good folk. Should be back in a few days to a week. If not back in a couple of weeks, you know I've gone to hang out with Jesus, Allah, Buddha and a few of those cats. Bet they're BlueBaggers.




All the best mate for a speedy recovery and hopefully the club can scrape some wins together and give you some cheer.
Just come out of hospital myself after a hernia repair so you take it easy and work your way back into your normal routine as it can be easy to try and go to hard too early...

Re: General Discussions

Reply #2196
Well, wish me luck folks.

Your truly is going in for spinal surgery early tomorrow morning, Mon Apr 7th.

For those who understand spines, discs C7 and C8 are rOOted - I believe that's the medical expression, though my orthopaedic surgeon calls it herniated discs. Back, right arm (tricep/forearm) and pinky and next two fingers pain, tingling and numbness come and go... mostly come!

Pain meds (Endone/Lyrica) help but I limit the doses as I don't want to become addicted or mask too much pain - don't want to aggravate the discs and those nerves by being oblivious and trying to build an extension on the house or something equally stupid. Without the meds, though, the pain is unbearable. Fortunately, at this stage, no permanent nerve damage - no loss of strength.

Yep, with surgery (they go in through the throat, FFS) imminent the PTSD surfaces and has a field day but anxiety meds and pain meds don't mix, so no benzos. Lots of walking around and getting on here to harass and irritate you good folk. Should be back in a few days to a week. If not back in a couple of weeks, you know I've gone to hang out with Jesus, Allah, Buddha and a few of those cats. Bet they're BlueBaggers.




Baggers I had an Anterior Cervicle Decompression Fusion on my C7 back in 2016 and haven't looked back. I had all the symptoms you described and the last straw was 25 weeks of pain, inability to sleep, sit or basically function. I walked into surgery in agony and woke up pain free and fixed. No side effects or issues since then.
Turf the Lyrica for starters, it's evil crap.
All the best tomorrow, you'll be fine.
2021-Pi$$ or get off the pot
2022- Real Deal or more of the same? 0.6%
2023- "Raise the Standard" - M. Voss Another year wasted Bar Set
2024-Back to the drawing boardNo excuses, its time
2025-Carlton can win the 2025 AFL Premiership

Re: General Discussions

Reply #2197
Thank you folks, well wishes, encouragements and success stories - much appreciated.

Don't worry, GTC, once it's all done, Lyrica and Endone get the flick - but I'll wean off sensibly over a few days! Then I'll have a beer next Saturday arvo watching the Baggers in action.

Don't know how you made it through 25 weeks. I'd had about 12 weeks of sheer, persistent hell (just as you describe) trying all manner of non-surgical treatment - no use at all, then to the ortho surgeon 3 weeks ago, then the MRI two weeks ago, then the ortho appt last week explaining what he intends to do, and then surgery scheduled for tomorrow.
Only our ruthless best, from Board to bootstudders will get us no. 17

Re: General Discussions

Reply #2198
Thank you folks, well wishes, encouragements and success stories - much appreciated.

Don't worry, GTC, once it's all done, Lyrica and Endone get the flick - but I'll wean off sensibly over a few days! Then I'll have a beer next Saturday arvo watching the Baggers in action.

Don't know how you made it through 25 weeks. I'd had about 12 weeks of sheer, persistent hell (just as you describe) trying all manner of non-surgical treatment - no use at all, then to the ortho surgeon 3 weeks ago, then the MRI two weeks ago, then the ortho appt last week explaining what he intends to do, and then surgery scheduled for tomorrow.
Doctors as usual taking the conservative approach, wanted me to see a physio who was making it worse. I persisted as long as I could (mistakenly) then demendad to see the surgeon (Myron Rogers) who was brilliant. "A bit of carpentry is all it is" he said.
2021-Pi$$ or get off the pot
2022- Real Deal or more of the same? 0.6%
2023- "Raise the Standard" - M. Voss Another year wasted Bar Set
2024-Back to the drawing boardNo excuses, its time
2025-Carlton can win the 2025 AFL Premiership

Re: General Discussions

Reply #2199
Thank you folks, well wishes, encouragements and success stories - much appreciated.

Don't worry, GTC, once it's all done, Lyrica and Endone get the flick - but I'll wean off sensibly over a few days! Then I'll have a beer next Saturday arvo watching the Baggers in action.

Don't know how you made it through 25 weeks. I'd had about 12 weeks of sheer, persistent hell (just as you describe) trying all manner of non-surgical treatment - no use at all, then to the ortho surgeon 3 weeks ago, then the MRI two weeks ago, then the ortho appt last week explaining what he intends to do, and then surgery scheduled for tomorrow.
Doctors as usual taking the conservative approach, wanted me to see a physio who was making it worse. I persisted as long as I could (mistakenly) then demendad to see the surgeon (Myron Rogers) who was brilliant. "A bit of carpentry is all it is" he said.
Same story here with the useless GP, it was an Osteopath who identified it was a lot more than really bad muscle spasms creating the problems and advised me to get an Ortho or Neuro surgeon asap. My sister's husband needed someone to do a really difficult spinal surgery, which was totally successful... I chose him at my sister's insistence! (Mr Michael Knight).
Only our ruthless best, from Board to bootstudders will get us no. 17

Re: General Discussions

Reply #2200
Doctors as usual taking the conservative approach, wanted me to see a physio who was making it worse. I persisted as long as I could (mistakenly) then demendad to see the surgeon (Myron Rogers) who was brilliant. "A bit of carpentry is all it is" he said.
Same story here with the useless GP, it was an Osteopath who identified it was a lot more than really bad muscle spasms creating the problems and advised me to get an Ortho or Neuro surgeon asap. My sister's husband needed someone to do a really difficult spinal surgery, which was totally successful... I chose him at my sister's insistence! (Mr Michael Knight).
Our stories are eerily similar, I have been seeing an osteo for years about various niggles, bloody brilliant fella, I swear by him. When I didn't respond to an early treatment, he suspected something was seriously wrong and that I should have an MRI. He didn't want to touch it for fear of making it worse. I told the GP and course he suggested the physio (because they dont like osteos and Chiros). It was the physiological that was potentially doing more damage trying to repair something irreparable. Once it got unbearable, I had an MRI on a Sat, saw the surgeon the following Thu and was booked in for the op 2 weeks later.
2021-Pi$$ or get off the pot
2022- Real Deal or more of the same? 0.6%
2023- "Raise the Standard" - M. Voss Another year wasted Bar Set
2024-Back to the drawing boardNo excuses, its time
2025-Carlton can win the 2025 AFL Premiership

Re: General Discussions

Reply #2201
Best wishes for tomorrow Baggers.
Hopefully the surgery is a success and you'll be pain free.
And yep....Watch those heavy pain killers and ease off them gradually rather than stopping suddenly.
But I'm sure you've got it under control. ;)
Looking forward to seeing you back in a couple of days :)

 

Re: General Discussions

Reply #2202
All the best Baggers, hope all goes well and you get  a good outcome! 👍😎
Reality always wins in the end.

Re: General Discussions

Reply #2203

Same story here with the useless GP, it was an Osteopath who identified it was a lot more than really bad muscle spasms creating the problems and advised me to get an Ortho or Neuro surgeon asap. My sister's husband needed someone to do a really difficult spinal surgery, which was totally successful... I chose him at my sister's insistence! (Mr Michael Knight).
Our stories are eerily similar, I have been seeing an osteo for years about various niggles, bloody brilliant fella, I swear by him. When I didn't respond to an early treatment, he suspected something was seriously wrong and that I should have an MRI. He didn't want to touch it for fear of making it worse. I told the GP and course he suggested the physio (because they dont like osteos and Chiros). It was the physiological that was potentially doing more damage trying to repair something irreparable. Once it got unbearable, I had an MRI on a Sat, saw the surgeon the following Thu and was booked in for the op 2 weeks later.

Sheesh, almost carbon copies, GTC. I also swear by Osteos.
Only our ruthless best, from Board to bootstudders will get us no. 17

Re: General Discussions

Reply #2204
All the best Baggers.  Come here if you need comic relief.
"everything you know is wrong"

Paul Hewson